黄宏运, 朱家明, 李诗争. 基于遗传算法优化的BP神经网络在股指预测中的应用研究[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2017, 39(3): 350-355. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20160516
引用本文: 黄宏运, 朱家明, 李诗争. 基于遗传算法优化的BP神经网络在股指预测中的应用研究[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2017, 39(3): 350-355. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20160516
HUANG Hong-yun, WU Li-bing, LI Shi-zheng. The BP neural network based on GA optimization in the application of the stock index forecasting[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2017, 39(3): 350-355. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20160516
Citation: HUANG Hong-yun, WU Li-bing, LI Shi-zheng. The BP neural network based on GA optimization in the application of the stock index forecasting[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2017, 39(3): 350-355. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20160516

基于遗传算法优化的BP神经网络在股指预测中的应用研究

The BP neural network based on GA optimization in the application of the stock index forecasting

  • 摘要: 针对股票价格不仅受到众多不确定性因素影响而且数据本身具有高度模糊非线性等特点而导致的预测难问题,首先利用具有良好非线性寻优能力的遗传算法来优化BP网络初始权阈值的设置,然后构建了一个基于历史股票价量信息为输入变量,日开盘价为输出变量的股指预测模型,在对观察期内上证综指(开盘指数)的实证研究表明,优化后的BP网络在训练时不仅可以更快地实现收敛,而且对于训练集与测试集样本的预测性均得到明显地提高.

     

    Abstract: Due to the stock price is not only affected by many uncertain factors and the data itself has a high degree of fuzzy non-linear characteristics,so there is always a difficult problem for forecasting.In this paper,we firstly use the genetic algorithm with good nonlinear optimization ability to optimize the initial threshold of BP Neural Network,then construc a stock index forecasting model based on historical stock price information as input variable and daily opening price as output variable.An empirical study of the Shanghai Composite Index (opening index) during the observation period showed that the optimized BP Neural Network can not only achieve convergence faster in training process,but also improve the predictability of the training set and the test set.

     

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