张勇, 蔡宏珂. 基于20CR再分析资料的中国西南地区气温长期趋势评估[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2020, 42(4): 712-719. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20190555
引用本文: 张勇, 蔡宏珂. 基于20CR再分析资料的中国西南地区气温长期趋势评估[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2020, 42(4): 712-719. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20190555
ZHANG Yong, CAI Hong-ke. Evaluation of air temperature in Southwest China based on 20th Century Reanalysis data[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2020, 42(4): 712-719. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20190555
Citation: ZHANG Yong, CAI Hong-ke. Evaluation of air temperature in Southwest China based on 20th Century Reanalysis data[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2020, 42(4): 712-719. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20190555

基于20CR再分析资料的中国西南地区气温长期趋势评估

Evaluation of air temperature in Southwest China based on 20th Century Reanalysis data

  • 摘要: 利用20CR再分析资料,分析了西南地区1900—2012年气温长期趋势的时空分布特征,通过功率谱分析诊断了西南地区气温的主要时间周期. 结果表明:冬季西南地区气温的长期趋势在南部(23°~26°N,101°~107°E)增暖更强,春季西南部(22°~25°N,98°~102°E)增暖更强;夏秋两季长期趋势的空间分布相反,即夏季为自西向东逐渐递减,而秋季为自西向东递增;对比冬春两季,夏秋两季的变暖趋势更加明显,范围更大;气温长期趋势最强区域为秋季东部关键区(23°~32°N,104°~109°E),长期趋势最弱区域为夏季东部关键区(23°~32°N,105°~108.5°E);四季各关键区域时间序列均有超过20 a以上的显著周期.

     

    Abstract: Using 20th Century Reanalysis (20CR) data, this paper analyzes the spatial and temporal characteristics of long-term trend of air temperature and depicts the main time period of air temperature in Southwest China based on the spectrum analysis. Our results have five points. First, the air temperature of Southwest China is warmer in its south region (23°—26°N, 101°—107°E) in winter, and it is warmer in its southwest region (22°—25°N, 98°—102°E) in spring. Second, there is an opposite spatial pattern of long-term trend of air temperature between summer and autumn. That is, the long-term trend is generally decreasing from west to east in summer, while it is increasing from west to east in autumn. Third, the warming trend of Southwest China is overall more significant and its corresponding area is overall larger in summer and autumn than in winter and spring. Fourth, the strongest long-term trend of the air temperature is located in the key region of the east of Southwest China during autumn (23°—32°N, 104°—109°E), and the weakest long-term trend of the air temperature is located in the key region of the east of Southwest China during summer (23°—32°N, 105°—108.5°E). Fifth, the time series associated with the key region during four seasons mainly exhibits significant periods of more than 20 years.

     

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