李祥, 毕青, 付虹. 江川井数字化气氡映震特征分析[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 34(S2): 108-114.
引用本文: 李祥, 毕青, 付虹. 江川井数字化气氡映震特征分析[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 34(S2): 108-114.
LI Xiang, BI Qing, FU Hong. The earthquake reflecting characteristics analysis of digital gas radon in Jiangchuan[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2012, 34(S2): 108-114.
Citation: LI Xiang, BI Qing, FU Hong. The earthquake reflecting characteristics analysis of digital gas radon in Jiangchuan[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2012, 34(S2): 108-114.

江川井数字化气氡映震特征分析

The earthquake reflecting characteristics analysis of digital gas radon in Jiangchuan

  • 摘要: 主要对江川井数字化气氡观测值自2004年11月稳定以来的动态特征进行分析,得出江川数字化气氡存在准周期为1a的动态变化特征,包括相对平稳和高值振荡2种变化形态.在此基础上,对相对平稳期、高值振荡期分别采用原始曲线法和二阶平微求速度方法进行地震前兆异常特征提取,得出:当相对平稳期气氡日均值C(Rn)+2.0和高值振荡期气氡日均值二阶平微速度值C(Rn)+1.8,对震中距80km范围内的4.0级和250km左右范围内的5.0级以上地震有较好的短临预测预报实效.

     

    Abstract: This article main analysis the dynanic changes characteristics of Jiangchuan digital gas radon since 2004,abtain that the digital gas radon has a year cycle feature,includes two form of changes with the relatively stable and high value changes.On this basis,the original curve method was used in the relatively stable period and the second level of speed method was used in the high-value changes period to extract precursory anomaly feature,and obtained that when the day average gas radon value of relatively stale period C(Rn)+2.0 and the day average gas radon value of high value change C(Rn)+1.8,there will be a better effects of short term forecast to more than 4.0 magnitude earthquake 80km far from the epicenter and to more than 5.0 magnitude earthquake 250km far from the epicenter.

     

/

返回文章
返回