白 慧, 陈贞宏, 付云鸿. 基于集合EMD方法的贵州省极端气温事件频数的主震荡模态分析[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 34(S2): 364-373.
引用本文: 白 慧, 陈贞宏, 付云鸿. 基于集合EMD方法的贵州省极端气温事件频数的主震荡模态分析[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 34(S2): 364-373.
BAI Hui, CHEN Zhen-hong, FU Yun-hong. Modal analysis of frequency of sustained extreme temperature events in Guizhou using ensemble EMD[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2012, 34(S2): 364-373.
Citation: BAI Hui, CHEN Zhen-hong, FU Yun-hong. Modal analysis of frequency of sustained extreme temperature events in Guizhou using ensemble EMD[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2012, 34(S2): 364-373.

基于集合EMD方法的贵州省极端气温事件频数的主震荡模态分析

Modal analysis of frequency of sustained extreme temperature events in Guizhou using ensemble EMD

  • 摘要: 采用每日最高(最低)气温的历史同期序列的分位数作为该日的极端阈值,运用改进的经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition,EMD)方法对贵州省19812010年每年发生的持续3 d及3 d以上(从第4天起允许间隔1 d)极端气温频数进行了初步分析.结果表明,19812010年贵州省每年的持续极端高温频数(frequency of sustained extreme-high temperature,FSEHT)和持续极端低温频数(frequency of sustained extreme-low temperature,FSELT)序列分别呈线性上升趋势和线性下降趋势;在0.05的显著性水平下,贵州省代表站的FSEHT序列与该地区的年平均气温序列呈显著正相关关系,而该地区的FSELT序列与年平均气温序列的负线性相关不显著;此外,这2个频数序列分别存在不同的周期振荡.从主要周期看,贵州省的FSEHT和FSELT序列的振荡变化主要表现为高频振荡.

     

    Abstract: In this paper the extreme threshold of temperature is defined by the percentile value of time series of daily maximum or minimum temperature,and the annual frequency of sustained extreme high(FSEHT) and low temperature(FSELT) events at least 3 days(1 day interval after 4 days) during 19812010 in Guizhou are analyzed with the ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD) method presented by Wu.The results show that during the 30 years,the FSEHT and FSELT series both exhibit a linear ascending and decreasing trend in Guizhou;the prominent positive linear correlation between the FSEHT series and the annual mean temperature series is statistically at the 0.05 confidence level,while changes in FSELT are hardly affected by the annual mean temperature.Besides there are also oscillations of different periods in the two frequency series;and in view of principle periods,the oscillations of the two series are high frequency oscillation.

     

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