尤红, 肖子牛, 艾永智. 2008年"2.28"低纬高原强对流成因诊断与数值模拟[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 33(2): 172-178 .
引用本文: 尤红, 肖子牛, 艾永智. 2008年"2.28"低纬高原强对流成因诊断与数值模拟[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 33(2): 172-178 .
Diagnotistic analysis and numerical simulation of severe convection on February 28, 2008 in low-latitude plateau[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2011, 33(2): 172-178 .
Citation: Diagnotistic analysis and numerical simulation of severe convection on February 28, 2008 in low-latitude plateau[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2011, 33(2): 172-178 .

2008年"2.28"低纬高原强对流成因诊断与数值模拟

Diagnotistic analysis and numerical simulation of severe convection on February 28, 2008 in low-latitude plateau

  • 摘要: 利用常规观测、NCEP1°×1°再分析资料和中尺度WRF模式,对低纬高原云南2008年"2.28"强对流进行成因诊断和数值模拟研究,结果表明:此次复杂强对流在春季低温冷冻灾害和位势稳定背景下,由强垂直风切变、低层潮湿和足够水汽供应以及强抬升机制共同作用造成.过程中,强对流由强斜压不稳定释放诱发在低层湿舌附近;冰雹、雷雪上空-20 ℃温度层在450hPa层上少动, 0~-20 ℃温度梯度是冰雹大于雷雪的;降雹的饱和水汽团高度比雷雪高;垂直干位涡反映了对流层高层强位涡高值的强干冷西北气流向低层、低纬传送和中低层小位涡西南暖湿急流交汇特征.WRF模拟结果佐证了位势稳定条件下存在强垂直风切变会发生剧烈对流的事实,水平风、抬升凝结高度和最大对流有效位能等可为判断云南有无强对流及其种类提供参考依据.

     

    Abstract: Using the convention observed data,the NCEP1°×1° grid point material, the mesoscale numerical model WRF,the severe convection in low-latitude plateau on February 28,2008 has been diagnotistic analysed and numerical simulated. The result shows that the severe convection, which occurred under the Spring low temperature, freezing calamity and potential stability condition,cause include strong vertical wind shear, wet low level,adequate vapor served and severe lift movement. In this extremely convection process,severe convection result in the rapid release of strong absolute baroclinic instability,which happen about the wet lingua of low level.The negative twenty degree celsius layer over hailstorm,thunderstorm snow region on 450hPa level,the temperature gradient between zero and negative twenty degree celsius of hailstorm is bigger than the thunderstorm snow’s,the saturated vapor location of hailstorm is higher.Vertical dry potential vorticity (PV)takes on the characteristic of the upper troposphere high PV of strong dry and cold northwest air tends downwards to the low-level and low-latitude,which join with the worm,wet southwest jet on middle and low-level.The WRF simulation scheme in the test has good simulated capability,the case that strong vertical wind shear can cause sever convection under potential stability condition are well validated, the simulation results by WRF meso-scale numerical model such as horizontal wind,lifted condensation level and max convective available potential energy can well indicate the occurrence and kind of strong convection in Yunnan.

     

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