罗燕, 田永丽, 戴敏, 陈新梅. 云南近50年极端气温及降水事件变化特征与区域气候变暖的关系[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2015, 37(6): 870-877. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20140395
引用本文: 罗燕, 田永丽, 戴敏, 陈新梅. 云南近50年极端气温及降水事件变化特征与区域气候变暖的关系[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2015, 37(6): 870-877. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20140395
LUO Yan, TIAN Yong-li, DAI Min, CHEN Xin-mei. Extreme temperature and precipitation events change features over Yunnan in recent 50 years and their relation with regional climate change[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2015, 37(6): 870-877. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20140395
Citation: LUO Yan, TIAN Yong-li, DAI Min, CHEN Xin-mei. Extreme temperature and precipitation events change features over Yunnan in recent 50 years and their relation with regional climate change[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2015, 37(6): 870-877. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20140395

云南近50年极端气温及降水事件变化特征与区域气候变暖的关系

Extreme temperature and precipitation events change features over Yunnan in recent 50 years and their relation with regional climate change

  • 摘要: 利用19612008年云南125个观测站的逐日观测资料,采用百分位值法定义了云南极端气温、降水事件阈值,分析了极端条件下的高温、低温和强降水的分布特征、气候变化趋势及其与区域气候变暖的关系.结果表明,云南极端高温阈值大于36℃的中心分别在低海拔的金沙江河谷、红河河谷及昭通和西双版纳的部分河谷地区.全省大部分地区极端高温频数具有明显的年代际变化特征.极端低温阈值小于-10℃的低值中心则集中位于迪庆州北部.大部分地区极端低温频数呈明显减少趋势.极端强降水阈值超过40mm的大值中心有3个,分别位于玉溪南部红河南部、普洱南部和曲靖南部.年平均气温与极端高温频数为正相关关系,与极端低温频数为显著的负相关关系,与极端强降水频数的相关关系不明显.

     

    Abstract: Based on daily observations in 125 stations of Yunnan from 1961 to 2008, the threshold values of extreme heat, extreme cold and extreme heavy rainfall events have been defined with percentile method.The change of extreme heat, extreme cold and extreme precipitation and their possible relationship with the climate warming has been analyzed.The results show that the intensity distribution of extreme heat threshold greater than 36℃ located in the low altitude of Jinsha River valley, the Red River Valley and the part of valley area of Zhaotong and Xishuangbanna.Extreme high frequency in most areas of Yunnan exibits obvious feature in term of decadal time.The center of extreme cold threshold less than -10℃ concentrates in the northern Diqing.Extreme cold frequency in most areas of Yunnan tended to decrease significantly.The three centers of extreme rainfall threshold more than 40mm concentrates in the south of Yuxi and Honghe, south of Puer and southern Qujing.A consistent positive correlation has been exposed between the annual average temperature and extreme heat frequency.A significant negative correlation has been revealed between the annual average temperature and extreme low temperature frequency. The correlation between extreme precipitation frequency and the annual average temperature is not obvious.

     

/

返回文章
返回