吴星霖, 罗松, 余加贵. 多普勒雷达回波强度估测降雨的气候统计方法[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 33(S2): 374-378.
引用本文: 吴星霖, 罗松, 余加贵. 多普勒雷达回波强度估测降雨的气候统计方法[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 33(S2): 374-378.
The rainfall precipitation estimated Doppler-radar echointensity using statistical method[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2011, 33(S2): 374-378.
Citation: The rainfall precipitation estimated Doppler-radar echointensity using statistical method[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2011, 33(S2): 374-378.

多普勒雷达回波强度估测降雨的气候统计方法

The rainfall precipitation estimated Doppler-radar echointensity using statistical method

  • 摘要: 利用20032010年昭通多普勒雷达体扫复合仰角的强度回波资料及10个县气象站雨量资料,以多仰角回波强度资料为预报因子,以未来1h降雨量为预报对象,结合小区域气候背景分站,分距离、分仰角、分强度进行多种(次)试验,最后选取较好的方程进行1h降雨量估计;根据点聚图等提取预报指标,并结合自动站降雨量资料进行总降雨量的外推预报,在此基础上建立了预报业务系统.在短时临近预报的实际业务工作中有一定的参考价值.

     

    Abstract: Using echo intensity of Doppler radar composite elevation data from 2003 to 2010 in Zhaotong and 10 counties weather station rainfall data,multi-elevation echo intensity data as predictors to forecast the next 1 hour precipitation,combined with the small regional climate background ,a variety of tests of sub-station,sub-distance,point elevation were conduct,a better equation for 1-hour rainfall estimates selected.was Predictors were extracted according to point poly figures.The total rainfall extrapolation forecast were done by combining with automatic station rainfall data.Based on these,a forecast system was established,which has a certain reference value in the short-term and nowcasting actual operations.

     

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