陈国龙, 杨瑞霞, 王普, 梁勇奇. 近20 a三北地区植被资源时空变化特征探究[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 43(5): 1028-1037. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200556
引用本文: 陈国龙, 杨瑞霞, 王普, 梁勇奇. 近20 a三北地区植被资源时空变化特征探究[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 43(5): 1028-1037. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200556
CHEN Guo-long, YANG Rui-xia, WANG Pu, LIANG Yong-qi. Spatial and temporal variation characteristics of vegetation resources in Three North Regions in recent 20 years[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2021, 43(5): 1028-1037. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200556
Citation: CHEN Guo-long, YANG Rui-xia, WANG Pu, LIANG Yong-qi. Spatial and temporal variation characteristics of vegetation resources in Three North Regions in recent 20 years[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2021, 43(5): 1028-1037. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200556

近20 a三北地区植被资源时空变化特征探究

Spatial and temporal variation characteristics of vegetation resources in Three North Regions in recent 20 years

  • 摘要: 三北地区长期以来是生态建设和生态文明关注的重点区域,开展三北地区植被变化监测,可为后续三北生态建设提供科学依据. 基于长时间序列NDVI数据,采用趋势分析、变异系数和Hurst指数分析等方法对三北地区1998—2018年植被NDVI变化特征及其趋势的持续性进行模拟和分析. 研究结果表明:①1998—2018年间三北地区植被有所改善,NDVI上升区域与下降区域分界线大致以200 mm等降水量线为界,山西和陕西改善面积占比超过95%,新疆改善面积占比低于50%. ②近20 a三北地区80%以上的地区NDVI波动明显,波动区域与稳定区域大致以400 mm等降水线为界,新疆地区波动最为剧烈. ③三北地区Hurst指数均值为0.47,90%以上的区域NDVI变化趋势难以长久维持. 总体看,1998—2018年三北地区植被整体呈改善趋势,但可持续性不强,未来需要进一步加强植被生态修复与防护工作,保障生态文明建设的持续性.

     

    Abstract: Three North Regions have been the key areas of ecological construction and ecological civilization. To provide scientific basis for the following ecological construction, vegetation change monitoring in the Three North Regions was carried out. Based on the long-term NDVI data, the trend analysis, coefficient of variation and Hurst index analysis were applied to simulate and analyze the changing characteristics and the sustainability of NDVI trend in the area from 1998 to 2018. The results showed that: during the period of 1998—2018, the vegetation in the areas improved, and the boundary between the rising area and the falling area of NDVI was roughly bounded by the 200 mm precipitation line. The improved area of Shanxi and Shaanxi was more than 95%, while less than 50% of Xinjiang was improved. In recent 20 years, NDVI data of more than 80% of the area fluctuated obviously, and the fluctuating area and stable area could be roughly divided by the 400 mm precipitation line, and the fluctuation in Xinjiang was most severe. The average value of Hurst index is 0.47, and the trend of NDVI change in more than 90% of the area was difficult to maintain for long time. From 1998 to 2018, the vegetation in Three North Regions has improved, but the sustainability is not strong. It is necessary to strengthen the ecological restoration and protection of vegetation to ensure the sustainability of ecological civilization construction.

     

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