杨芳园, 潘娅婷, 邹灵宇, 段燕楠, 王占良, 石宝灵, 李晓鹏. 昆明市两次局地短时暴雨过程对比分析[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 43(5): 953-963. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200599
引用本文: 杨芳园, 潘娅婷, 邹灵宇, 段燕楠, 王占良, 石宝灵, 李晓鹏. 昆明市两次局地短时暴雨过程对比分析[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 43(5): 953-963. doi: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200599
YANG Fang-yuan, PAN Ya-ting, ZOU Ling-yu, DUAN Yan-nan, WANG Zhan-liang, SHI Bao-ling, LI Xiao-peng. Comparative analysis of two local short-time rainstorm processes in Kunming[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2021, 43(5): 953-963. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200599
Citation: YANG Fang-yuan, PAN Ya-ting, ZOU Ling-yu, DUAN Yan-nan, WANG Zhan-liang, SHI Bao-ling, LI Xiao-peng. Comparative analysis of two local short-time rainstorm processes in Kunming[J]. Journal of Yunnan University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2021, 43(5): 953-963. DOI: 10.7540/j.ynu.20200599

昆明市两次局地短时暴雨过程对比分析

Comparative analysis of two local short-time rainstorm processes in Kunming

  • 摘要: 利用常规观测资料、多普勒天气雷达、地面自动站加密资料及NCEP再分析资料,对2017年7月20日和2019年7月20日发生在云南省昆明市主城区的两次局地短时暴雨天气进行对比分析. 结果表明,两次过程均是在两高辐合、低层切变影响背景下产生的,不稳定层结、充沛的水汽条件和地面中尺度辐合线为短时暴雨提供了热力不稳定、动力抬升和水汽条件. “19.7.20”过程的水汽条件,垂直上升运动较“17.7.20”过程更明显,因此短时暴雨的强度和范围更大. 雷达资料显示,“17.7.20”过程以层状−积云混合降水为主,强回波发展较高,“19.7.20”过程以层状云降水为主,为低质心降水结构,两次过程对流回波在昆明主城上空不断加强发展,移速缓慢,持续时间长,速度图上有小尺度辐合区,对强降水的维持和加强有重要作用. 地面中尺度辐合线对强降水的发生有1~2 h的提前预报实效,主城特殊的喇叭口地形对降水的增幅作用明显.

     

    Abstract: Based on the conventional observation data, Doppler radar data, intensive network of automatic weather station and NCEP reanalysis data, the characteristics of two local short-time rainstorm processes on July 20th, 2017 and July 20th, 2019 in Kunming main city zone were analyzed. The results show that, the two processes occurred under the conditions of two high convergence zones and low-level shears. Unstable stratification, abundant water vapor and surface meso-scale convergence line provided thermal instability, dynamic lifting and water vapor condition for short-term rainstorm. The water vapor condition and vertical ascending motion in the process of "July 20th, 2019" were more obvious than those of "July 20th, 2017", so the intensity and range of short-term rainstorm for the "July 20th, 2019" process were more obvious. Radar data showed that the "July 20th, 2017" process was dominated by mixed precipitation of stratified-cumulus clouds, and the development of strong echo was relatively higher, while the "July 20th, 2019" process was dominated by stratified clouds precipitation, which was a low-mass center precipitation structure. In the two processes, the convective echo over Kunming main city zone was continuously strengthening and developing, while moving slowly, and had an obvious small scale convergence area, which played an important role in maintaining and strengthening the heavy rainfall. The surface mesoscale convergence line could predict the occurrence of heavy rainfall for 1−2 hours, and the special trumpet-shape topography has precipitation enhancement effect in Kunming main city zone.

     

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