安顺市强对流天气的环境参量特征对比分析

Analysis of environmental parameter characteristics of severe convective weather in Anshun City

  • 摘要: 短时强降水、雷暴大风、冰雹等强对流天气致灾性高,对不同类型强对流天气环境参量异同的准确了解是提供准确预报预警的基础. 利用2015—2023年安顺市区域自动站资料,对安顺市短时强降水、冰雹、雷暴大风的时空分布及环境参量特征开展研究. 结果表明:安顺市3类强对流天气在空间分布上存在明显差异,短时强降水呈现西北部多、东南部少的分布型;冰雹呈现中北部多、南部少,雷暴大风的分布较为分散. 3类强对流天气集中时段在4月上旬到6月中旬,其高峰期出现的时间顺序分别为雷暴大风(4月上旬)、冰雹(4月下旬)、短时强降水(6月中旬);一天中冰雹、雷暴大风主要出现在傍晚到20:00,短时强降水出现在前半夜. 3种强对流天气在环境参量中也存在明显差异,短时强降水易产生于高能高湿的环境中,对流有效位能(convective available potential energy, CAPE)、K指数、比湿、湿层厚度均大于其余两种强对流天气;雷暴大风产生于大的垂直风切变和下沉对流有效势能(downdraft convective available potential energy, DCAPE),不太深厚的湿层的环境中;冰雹产生于大的ΔT85,适中的能量和垂直风切变环境. 物理参数阈值中,冰雹的ΔT75、ΔT85最大,分别为14.9 ℃、22 ℃,雷暴大风最小,依次为13.5 ℃、19.7 ℃,短时强降水介于中间. 雷暴大风的DCAPE、0~3 km垂直风切变最大,分别为2.9 J·kg−1、7.9 m·s−1,短时强降水最小,依次为1.0 J·kg−1、5.3 m·s−1,其余物理参数最大值均出现在短时强降水中.

     

    Abstract: Short term heavy rainfall, thunderstorm winds and hail in severe convective weather have a high risk of causing disasters, and accurately understanding the similarities and differences in environmental parameters of different types of severe convective weather is the foundation for providing accurate forecasting and early warning. This article analyzed the spatiotemporal distribution and environmental parameters of three types of severe convective weather in Anshun City, using hail, thunderstorm winds, and short-term heavy precipitation data from the Anshun Regional Automatic Stations from 2015 to 2023. The results showed that there were significant differences in the spatial distribution and occurrence frequency of the three types of severe convective weather. The spatial distribution of short-term heavy precipitation showed a trend of more in the northwest and less in the southeast, hail was more in the central and north, with less in the south, and thunderstorm winds were relatively scattered. The concentrated period of the three types of severe convective weather was from early April to mid-June, and the peak periods of severe convective weather were as follows, thunderstorm winds’ peak period occurred in early April, hail’s, in late April, and short-term heavy precipitation’s, in mid-June. Hail and thunderstorm winds mainly appeared in the late afternoon to 20:00, while short-term intense precipitation occurred before 24 o’clock. There were also significant differences in environmental parameters among the three types of severe convective weather. The CAPE value, K-index, specific humidity and wet layer height of short-term heavy precipitation were higher than those of the other two types of severe convective weather, making it more likely for short-term heavy precipitation to occur in high-energy and high humidity environments. Thunderstorm winds occurred in environments with high vertical wind shear and DACPE, as well as with the less deep wet layer thickness. Hail occurred in a large ΔT85, moderate energy and vertical wind shear environment. The physical parameter thresholds for hail were the highest for ΔT75 and ΔT85, respectively at 14.9 ℃ and 22 ℃, those for thunderstorm winds were the lowest, respectively at 13.5 ℃ and 19.7 ℃, and those for short-term heavy precipitation fell in between. For DCAPE and SHR3, thunderstorm winds had the maximum values, respectively at 2.9 J·kg−1 and 7·9 m·s−1, while short-term heavy precipitation had the minimum values, at 1.0 J·kg−1 and 5.3 m·s−1. Besides, the maximum values for other physical parameters were observed in short-term heavy precipitation.

     

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