基于TimeGAN与TransBiGRU-AKSM的铁水硅含量预测

Prediction method of silicon content in molten iron based on TimeGAN data enhanced TransBiGRU AKSM model

  • 摘要: 铁水硅含量是衡量铁水品质和炉况的关键性能指标,但高炉铁水硅含量与过程变量存在复杂的非线性相关性与迟滞性,造成铁水质量调控盲目. 为此,提出一种基于TimeGAN与TransBiGRU-AKSM模型的铁水硅含量预测方法. 首先,针对带标签数据稀缺问题,提出基于时间序列对抗生成网络,在有效扩充数据的同时提升模型的泛化能力. 其次,为了高效捕捉时间序列中的长时依赖关系,提升对硅含量变化趋势的捕捉精度,结合Transformer的全局特征提取能力和BiGRU的双向时间序列学习优势. 同时,为了增强模型在复杂高炉工况中的适应能力,引入自适应关键特征选择机制,进一步优化了对关键特征的动态选择和加权处理. 最后,基于工业现场数据验证了所提方法的有效性和准确性.

     

    Abstract: The silicon content in hot metal is a key performance indicator for evaluating both the quality of the hot metal and the operational state of the blast furnace. However, due to the complex nonlinear relationships and time-lag effects between the silicon content and process variables, the control of hot metal quality remains largely empirical. To address this, a prediction method for hot metal silicon content is proposed, combining TimeGAN-based data augmentation with the TransBiGRU-AKSM model. First, to tackle the issue of limited labeled data, a time-series generative adversarial network is employed to effectively expand the dataset and enhance the generalization ability of the model. Second, to efficiently capture long-term dependencies in time series and improve the accuracy in tracking silicon content trends, the model integrates the global feature extraction capability of the Transformer with the bidirectional temporal learning strength of BiGRU. Moreover, to enhance adaptability under complex blast furnace conditions, an Adaptive Key-feature Selection Mechanism is introduced, enabling dynamic selection and weighted processing of key features. Finally, the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method are validated using real industrial data.

     

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