具有非线性传染率的传染病模型分析

Analyses of a SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate

  • 摘要: 建立了一类具有非线性传染率函数的SIS型传染病模型,考虑因病死亡、人口的输入和输出、出生率与自然死亡率等因素,分析了系统无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的存在性及其局部稳定性,得到了系统可能存在的周期运动,并利用全局分支方法研究了模型的BT分支,找到了系统所具有的鞍结点分支曲线、Hopf分支曲线和同宿轨分支曲线,再现了退化平衡点附近的轨线变化规律.

     

    Abstract: A new SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate was proposed.Upon the consideration of vertical transmission,output and input of population,recruitment and natural mortality,the existence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium for the model were qualitatively analyzed and the limit cycles were also discussed.At last,the Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation was analyzed by carrying out a global qualitative method and the curves of saddle-node bifurcation,Hopf bifurcation and homoclinic bifurcation were obtained at the degenerate equilibrium.

     

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