中国世界地质公园对旅游业发展的影响研究——基于双重差分方法

Study on the Impact of China’s Global Geoparks on Tourism Development: Based on the Difference-in-Difference Method

  • 摘要: 中国世界地质公园能否促进旅游业发展,仍缺乏基于大样本数据的因果推断. 基于2003—2020年185个城市面板数据,采用双重差分法(DID)识别中国世界地质公园对旅游业发展的影响. 全样本估计显示中国世界地质公园对旅游业发展未产生显著影响. 异质性分析则发现,中国世界地质公园的旅游业发展效应在经济水平、旅游资源、交通基础设施、行政等级四个维度呈现异质性,具体表现为促进弱势城市的旅游业发展,抑制优势城市的旅游业发展.

     

    Abstract: There is still a lack of causal inference based on a large sample of data as to whether China’s Global Geoparks can promote tourism development. The difference-in-difference (DID) model is used to identify the impact of China’s Global Geoparks on tourism development. The model is based on panel data of 185 cities from 2003 to 2020. Full-sample estimations show that China’s Global Geoparks do not have a significant impact on tourism development. Further analyses reveal that the effects of China’s Global Geoparks on tourism development are heterogeneous in four dimensions: economic level, tourism resources, transportation infrastructure and administrative level. Specifically, these effects are manifested in promoting the tourism development of disadvantaged cities while inhibiting the tourism development of advantaged cities.

     

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